This book reviews forecasting data mining models, from basic tools for stable data through causal models, to more advanced models using trends and cycles. These models are demonstrated on the basis of business-related data, including stock indices, crude oil prices, and the price of gold. The...

Einleitung in die Ermittlung der Übernahme- und Fusionswahrscheinlichkeit für Akquiseziele in der deutschen Stahlindustrie auf Basis von Finanzkennzahlen -- Methodisch-konzeptionelle Grundlagen zu den eingesetzten Arbeitstechniken und Hypothesen zu Übernahmen und Fusionen -- Identifizierung...

Why should we be interested in macroeconomic survey expectations? This important book offers an in-depth treatment of this question from a point of view not covered in existing works on time-series econometrics and forecasting. Clements presents the nature of survey data, addresses some of the...

In this book Simona Roccioletti reviews several valuable studies about risk measures and their properties; in particular she studies the new (and heavily discussed) property of "Elicitability" of a risk measure. More important, she investigates the issue related to the backtesting of Expected...

This book explores how to set up an empirical model that helps with forecasting long-term economic growth in a large number of countries. It offers a systematic approach to models of potential GDP that can also be used for forecasts of more than a decade. It is an attempt to fill the wide gap...

Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts,...

Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts,...

Konzepte der barwertigen Zinsrisikomessung -- Determinanten der Autokorrelation in der historischen Simulation -- Autokorrelation unter Verwendung unterschiedlicher Zinskurven und Vorgehensweisen -- Analyse der Prognosegüte vor dem Hintergrund verschiedener Autokorrelationseffekte --...

This two volume book presents an in-depth analysis of many of the most important issues facing today's shipping and port sectors. Volume 2 of Dynamic Shipping and Port Development in the Globalized Economy focuses on the emerging trends in ports.