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, investigating the structure and estimation of autoregressive-moving average (ARMA) models and their relations to the covariance …1. Introduction -- 2. ARMA models -- 3. Forecasting stationary processes -- 4. Estimation of Mean and Autocovariance … Function -- 5.Estimation of ARMA Models -- 6. Spectral Analysis and Linear Filters -- 7. Integrated Processes -- 8. Models of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012397877
This book proposes new methods to value equity and model the Markowitz efficient frontier using Markov switching models and provide new evidence and solutions to capture the persistence observed in stock returns across developed and emerging markets
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012053890
-by-tick asset prices to forecast the risk of upcoming volatility shocks. Holger Kömm embeds the proposed strategy in a monitoring …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014018810
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013521085
This book explores the US economy from 1960 to 2010 using a more Keynsian, Cowles model approach, which the author argues has substantial advantages over the vector autoregression (VAR) and dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models used almost exclusively today. Heim presents a robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012398077
This book explores how to set up an empirical model that helps with forecasting long-term economic growth in a large number of countries. It offers a systematic approach to models of potential GDP that can also be used for forecasts of more than a decade. It is an attempt to fill the wide gap...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013520921
as well as the considerations of catastrophic risk and extremal events. Leading experts address questions of economic … governance, risk management, policy decision making and distribution across time and space …Part I. Catastrophic risk in economic theory -- Catastrophic Risk, Rare Events, and Black Swans: Toward an Alternative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012398233
Semiparametrische Volatilitätsmodelle -- Hochfrequente und Ultra-Hochfrequente Finanzdaten -- Berechnung des Value-at-Risk …-Hochfrequente Finanzdaten Berechnung des Value-at-Risk auf Grundlage parametrischer und semiparametrischer Modelle Analyse von …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014018518
Um die klassische Eventstudie zu erweitern, entwickelt Waldemar Wagner ein theoriegestütztes Verfahren. Hierfür verwendet der Autor die Methoden der Theorien Nichtlinearer Dynamischer Systeme, um neben den linearen Abhängigkeiten in ökonomischen Zeitreihen auch die Existenz und zeitliche...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012401680
Risk measures and their properties -- Elicitability -- Backtesting (VaR and ES) -- Empirical Analysis -- MATLAB code. …In this book Simona Roccioletti reviews several valuable studies about risk measures and their properties; in … particular she studies the new (and heavily discussed) property of "Elicitability" of a risk measure. More important, she …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014018353