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the 1980s and early 1990s, to a low response some time after inflation targeting was implemented. Canada also observed a … regime change, but the decline in the exchange rate response was small relative to the increase in the response to inflation … stayed in a regime of high exchange rate response prior and post implementing inflation targeting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143836
inflation as one component of future real wages. This paper scrutinizes whether countries in CEE that officially announce an … inflation target are tempted to act time-inconsistently and switch from the announced inflation target to an exchange rate … target in order to sustain higher output via surprise inflation. If market participants discover the time-inconsistency, they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308235
In this paper I evaluate inflation targeting for ten countries. The evaluation is based on unconditional as well as … conditional measures of the variance of inflation around target. With strict inflation targeting, expectations of the future … Price Index (CPI) when calculating the inflation rate, I find that the null hypothesis can be rejected for six of ten …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321410
the macroeconomist's toolkit. This literature review stresses recently developed techniques for computation and inference …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143697
probabilities. Data augmentation for the multinomial logit model of the transition probabilities is alternatively based on a random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430109
, inflation, and exchange-rate movements. We perform posterior odds test to investigate the hypothesis whether central banks do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293466
This paper examines the effects of policy rate announcements on households' inflation expectations over the time period … in the policy rate on inflation expectations is significant and positive. According to the New-Keynesian model, the … information on the direction of future inflation. Given the sizeable weight of housing costs in the Swedish CPI basket, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806705
Exchange rates have raised the ire of economists for more than 20 years. The problem is that few, if any, exchange rate models are known to systematically beat a naive random walk in out of sample forecasts. Engel and West (2005) show that these failures can be explained by the standard-present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292311
We examine the relative predictive power of the sticky price monetary model, uncovered interest parity, and a transformation of the net exports variable. In addition to bringing a new approach (utilizing our measure of external imbalance suggested by Gourinchas and Rey) and data spanning a more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285332
Modern Money Theory (MMT) has generated considerable scrutiny and discussions over the past decade. While it has gained some acceptance in the financial sector and among some politicians, it has come under strong criticisms from all sides of the academic spectrum and from conservative political...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818360