Our study contains application of Latent Semantic Indexing on financial crises prediction. Hypothesis to test was that equity markets are able to predict even sharp changes in monetary policy during a quarter ahead of such a change (which was searched during two quarters that followed). This...

Tøi dùležité výzvy: zavádìní nových strategií mìnové politiky, vypozorované odlišnosti v prùbìhu finanèních krizí mezi rozvinutými a rozvíjejícími se ekonomikami a vznik EMU ? napomohly v poslední dekádì posunout úvahy o transmisním mechanizmu mìnové politiky....

The relatively long term period of stability before the present crises called even "Great Moderation" or "Golden Age of Central Banking" indicated that the infl ation targeting was a success story. As of 2008 a lot has changed and the debate over "Leaning against the wind or Clean afterwards?"...

Learning process is a new approach of filling the gap between adaptive expectations and rational expectations. Private agents are learning new information and adjust their expectation about the inflation and output gap. Central bank transparency is one of the key factors of learning by private...

The Czech Republic is going to face ageing of its population. It will affect the economy in many ways. The pension system is one of them. This paper provides a view on possibilities how to insure long-term stability of the pension system in the Czech Republic using a mix of pay-as-you-go and...

Our paper focuses on the analysis of supply and demand shocks and on the estimation of expected costs of introducing Euro currency into Czech Republic (CR). The analysis is based on the theory of optimal currency areas by Mundell (1961, 1973) and uses a macroeconomic approach formalized by...

The European Commission is going to discuss a revision of Directive 2003/96/ EC, restructuring the Community framework for the taxation of energy products and electricity. The first proposals include a new energy taxation system, where the current energy tax is divided into two components - an...

The present article is focused on analysis of US and Japan government bonds´ market and revealing possible price bubbles while considering the effect of Quantitative Easing and other chosen macroeconomic factors. The aim is set if on these selected market exists price bubble or we can speak...

Monograph on the Causal Relation of Money Supply and American Stock Market deals with the effect of the change of nominal money supply on the American stock index in the studied period 1967–2014. The „Industrial“ stock index Dow Jones Industrial Average, which is considered a barometer of...

The purpose of this paper is to study a three-equation dynamic model. The first equation describes the commodity market. The second one demonstrates the dynamics of the money market and the third equation is the interest rate parity. The aim is to investigate the conditions of more complex...