This paper intend to keep some lessons from the recent crisis for the monetary and fiscal stabilization policies. We develop six propositions about these policies : The monetary policy may be wrongly orientated before a crisis ; The non-orthodox monetary actions are effective but dangerous; The...

The methodology of cointegration filled the void that existed between economic theorists and econometricians in understanding the dynamics, equilibrium and reliability bias of macroeconomic and financial analysis, which is subject to revision non-stationary behavior. This article provides a...

In this paper, using monetary policy rules, we build a model which describes the fixing of the interest rate by the Bank of Central African's States (BEAC). First, with a GMM adapted for a forward looking rule, we propose a reaction function for this central bank. The result shows that from 1986...

The objective of this paper is to determine the relative importance of aggregate demand and aggregate supply shocks to fluctuations of real growth in CEMAC. The factual analysis of growth in the subregion over the last 20 years shows a dependence on oil prices whose e!ects on growth are...

We attempt to draw together monetary and fiscal policy making theory and the cointegrated VAR econometric methodology. Kirsanova at al(2005) have provided theory on the design of optimal monetary and fiscal policies, but estimation of monetary policy arrangements has suffered from many salient...

Recently, monetary authorities have increasingly focused on implementing policies to ensure price stability and strengthen central bank independence. Simultaneously in the fiscal area, market development has allowed public debt managers to focus more on cost minimization. This |"divorce'' of...

G3 Recent pronouncements as financial crisis management solution for the activity have put into question the orthodox monetarist in implementing monetary policy. In this sense, the Central Bank could be a victim of its own success by the paradox of credibility. The theory of divine coincidence...

This paper examines whether reputation concerns can induce the central bank to implement the time-inconsistent optimal monetary policy in a standard New Keynesian model. The forward-looking nature of this model is in this respect interesting on two accounts: first, it worsens the...

Dans une économie de marchés financiers, soumis au risque de disfonctionnement, où les actifs financiers sont des substituts imparfaits, on ne peut pas négliger les marchés financiers et monétaires dans les décisions de politique monétaire comme le suppose actuellement la littérature de...

Dans les débats sur la zone Euro et son élargissement, l’accent est souvent mis sur le problème de l’hétérogénéité entre les pays. Mais les difcultés à se coordonner ne provi- ennent pas nécessairement de la disparité entre les pays, tout au moins si le nombre de pays est...