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Are the Central and Eastern European Transition Countries still vulnerable to a Financial Crisis? Results from a Multivariate Logit Analysis

Linne, Thomas; Bruggermann, Axel - Royal Economic Society - RES - 2003

The aim of the paper is to analyse the determinants of financial crises in a sample of nine transition countries in Central and Eastern Europe with a modified logit model. The modification takes explicitly into account the rare event characteristic of a currency crisis. Our results suggest that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005232513

A munkaerő-piaci előrejelzések nemzetközi gyakorlata -áttekintés a kvantitatív módszerekről és felhasználásukról

Gács, János; Bíró, Anikó - 2012

forecasts and foreseeing structural changes". It presents a comprehensive overview of labour market forecasting activities … is to provide ideas, lessons and benchmarks for similar forecasting exercises in Hungary. After outlining the basic model … of quantitative labour market forecasting the paper identifies the technical conditions of model building and model …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494517

A munkakereslet nemzetközi tendenciái

Horn, Dániel - 2011

. We take their model and compare it with several other specifications to test forecasting fit. The main conclusions of … of this latter are easier to interpret. Quasi-autoregressive models do not improve forecasting fit as much as expected. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494708

A munkaerő-piaci előrejelzések nemzetközi gyakorlata: Áttekintés a kvantitatív módszerekről és felhasználásukról 12 ország és az Európai Unió előrejelzési tapasztalatai alapján...

Gács, János; Bíró, Anikó - 2013

The study presents a comprehensive overview of labour market forecasting activities, mostly quantitative, based on … and benchmarks for similar forecasting exercises in Hungary. After outlining the basic model of quantitative labour market … forecasting the paper identifies the technical conditions of model building and model quantification, as well as the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494734

Rational Expectations in Price Setting. Tests Based on Norwegian Export Prices

Svendsen, Ingvild - Statistisk Sentralbyrå, Government of Norway - 1998

This paper uses imperfect competition as a basis for modelling the export price for an aggregated commodity produced by the Norwegian private mainland economy. The long run solution is analysed using a cointegration technique. The dynamics are modelled according to two different approaches; a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980524

Expectations in Export Price Formation Tests using Cointegrated VAR Models

Boug, Pål; Cappelen, Ådne; Swensen, Anders R. - Statistisk Sentralbyrå, Government of Norway - 2000

The formation of export prices is an area in which the linear quadratic adjustment cost (LQAC) model under rational expectations may be relevant in practice. This paper evaluates the empirical performance of the LQAC-model using Norwegian data and a new testing procedure suggested by Johansen...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980930

Clustering and Joint Marketing in Retail Trade

Bohlin, Nils - Nationalekonomiska institutionen, Stockholms Universitet - 2001

This paper presents the idea that retail trade stories might cluster with their competitors to pool marketing expenses and thereby increase their individual visibility among consumers. In a model which presumes such a marketing technology we derive some new comparative statics results. In a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190643

Kelet-közép európai devizaárfolyamok elõrejelzése határidõs árfolyamok segítségével

Darvas, Zsolt; Schepp, Zoltán - Közgazdaságtudományi Kar, Pécsi Tudományegyetem - 2007

Írásunkban azt vizsgáljuk, hogy a hosszú lejáratú határidõs árfolyamok stacionaritását feltételezõ hibakorrekciós modellek, amelyek korábbi számítások szerint a világ devizapiaci forgalmának mintegy 75%-át kitevõ fejlett ipari országokra alkalmazva kitûnõ mintán...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008578165

Análisis del Tipo de Cambio Real: Chile 1986-1999

Cerda, Rodrigo; Donoso, Álvaro; Lema, Aldo - In: Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos … 42 (2005) 126, pp. 329-356

This paper incorporates demand and supply fundamentals in the determination of the Real Exchange Rate (RER). We are able to confirm the negative influence of the ratio expenditure-PIB and the terms of trade on RER, but in addition we find robust evidence

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005510187