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A munkaerő-piaci előrejelzések nemzetközi gyakorlata -áttekintés a kvantitatív módszerekről és felhasználásukról

Gács, János; Bíró, Anikó - 2012

forecasts and foreseeing structural changes". It presents a comprehensive overview of labour market forecasting activities … is to provide ideas, lessons and benchmarks for similar forecasting exercises in Hungary. After outlining the basic model … of quantitative labour market forecasting the paper identifies the technical conditions of model building and model …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494517

A munkakereslet nemzetközi tendenciái

Horn, Dániel - 2011

. We take their model and compare it with several other specifications to test forecasting fit. The main conclusions of … of this latter are easier to interpret. Quasi-autoregressive models do not improve forecasting fit as much as expected. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494708

A munkaerő-piaci előrejelzések nemzetközi gyakorlata: Áttekintés a kvantitatív módszerekről és felhasználásukról 12 ország és az Európai Unió előrejelzési tapasztalatai alapján...

Gács, János; Bíró, Anikó - 2013

The study presents a comprehensive overview of labour market forecasting activities, mostly quantitative, based on … and benchmarks for similar forecasting exercises in Hungary. After outlining the basic model of quantitative labour market … forecasting the paper identifies the technical conditions of model building and model quantification, as well as the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494734

Kelet-közép európai devizaárfolyamok elõrejelzése határidõs árfolyamok segítségével

Darvas, Zsolt; Schepp, Zoltán - Közgazdaságtudományi Kar, Pécsi Tudományegyetem - 2007

Írásunkban azt vizsgáljuk, hogy a hosszú lejáratú határidõs árfolyamok stacionaritását feltételezõ hibakorrekciós modellek, amelyek korábbi számítások szerint a világ devizapiaci forgalmának mintegy 75%-át kitevõ fejlett ipari országokra alkalmazva kitûnõ mintán...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008578165

Análisis del Tipo de Cambio Real: Chile 1986-1999

Cerda, Rodrigo; Donoso, Álvaro; Lema, Aldo - In: Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos … 42 (2005) 126, pp. 329-356

This paper incorporates demand and supply fundamentals in the determination of the Real Exchange Rate (RER). We are able to confirm the negative influence of the ratio expenditure-PIB and the terms of trade on RER, but in addition we find robust evidence

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005510187

Are the Central and Eastern European Transition Countries still vulnerable to a Financial Crisis? Results from a Multivariate Logit Analysis

Linne, Thomas; Bruggermann, Axel - Royal Economic Society - RES - 2003

The aim of the paper is to analyse the determinants of financial crises in a sample of nine transition countries in Central and Eastern Europe with a modified logit model. The modification takes explicitly into account the rare event characteristic of a currency crisis. Our results suggest that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005232513