This paper presents a model of the optimal bidding behaviour of a single bank in the context of fixed rate liquidity tenders. Banks’ bidding is shown to depend crucially on the central bank’s liquidity policy as regards tender allotments. The paper also analyses ECB liquidity policy in terms...

Hungarian Abstract: A hagyományos közgazdaságtan a reálelemzés keretében érvel, és ez akadálya a valós gazdasági folyamatok megértésének. Schumpeter és Keynes kritizálta ezt a megközelítést és helyette a monetáris elemzést alkalmazta. Ezt az elméleti alapvetést követem,...

We investigate, theoretically and empirically, the relationship between monetary policy and the term structure of interest rates. In particular, we show in a dynamic macroeconomic model that if monetary policy reveals information about economic developments, interest rates of all maturities move...

In a simple dynamic macroeconomic model, it is shown that uncertainty about structural parameters does not necessarily lead to more cautious monetary policy, refining the accepted wisdom concerning the effects of parameter uncertainty on optimal policy. In particular, when there is uncertainty...

Based upon Granger causality and Pesaran-Shin’s generalized impulse-response functions, this paper studies the link between the term structure and economic growth, and the link between the term structure and actual and expected percent changes of the Cons

Írásunkban azt vizsgáljuk, hogy a hosszú lejáratú határidõs árfolyamok stacionaritását feltételezõ hibakorrekciós modellek, amelyek korábbi számítások szerint a világ devizapiaci forgalmának mintegy 75%-át kitevõ fejlett ipari országokra alkalmazva kitûnõ mintán...

The study aims to revisit some of the macroeconomic issues related to Hungary's eurozone-accession. The government postponed euro-adoption until 2020 without any explanation, which is one of the motivations of our analysis. We review the arguments formulated in 2000-2004 regarding the adoption...

In December 2016 the National Bank of Hungary (NBH), by referring to its "backcasts" (based on analyses of past data-revisions), arbitrarily revised upwards the data of the Hungarian Statistical Office (HSO) on GDP-growth for the first three quarters of 2016. This "methodological innovation" (as...

In spite of being mainly concerned with stabilization policies, central banks in many developed countries often advocate the necessity of structural reforms. In turn, demand-side policies - such as monetary policy - can often help improving the political support of reforms (two-handed-approach)....

In this paper, we examine the cost of insurance against model uncertainty for the Euro area considering four alternative reference models, all of which are used for policy-analysis at the ECB. We find that maximal insurance across this model range in terms of a Minimax policy comes at moderate...