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forecasting CPI inflation over the last 10 years (2002Q1-2011Q4). As for the alternative indicators, we select a few concepts of … headline CPI rather than core CPI, and the indicators forecast inflation jointly rather than individually. The better … performance of the alternative indicators is mainly due to their leading correlation with inflation and real activity as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014137124
English Abstract: This study examines the influence of global and country factors on inflation movements in Korea using … a multilevel factor model. Our results indicate that global factors were significant drivers of inflation in Korea … during the high inflation era of the 1970s, as well as in recent periods following the COVID-19 pandemic. On the other hand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014347539
, such as, domestic economic growth and inflation. In particular, the asymmetric response of macroeconomic variables to the … oil price increase shocks, it reduces economic growth and increases the inflation rate, but oil price decrease shocks do … is -0.05%, while that against the inflation rate is 0.081%. But oil production shortfall shocks do not have an asymmetric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942576
English Abstract: The global financial crisis has exerted enormous impacts on the attainment of inflation target in … Korea. The annual average CPI inflation was 3.3% during the targeting period of 2007-2009 and the target was 3.0±0.5%. Thus … Korea has succeeded in keeping annual average CPI inflation just below the upper limit of the 2007-2009 target under the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993129
Korean Abstract: 본 논문에서는 실질환율의 비선형성을 검정하고 이를 이용해서 표본외 예측 분석을 하였다. 1975년 이후 선진 7개국의 데이터를 사용하여 실질환율데이터에 비선형성을 확인할 수 있었는데, 이러한 비선형성은...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942562
Korean Abstract: 본 연구는 북한당국이 발표하는 지역별 토지가격이나 토지의 특성에 관한 자료들이 없는 조건에서 북한지역의 토지가격과 토지자산의 규모를 추정하는 방법론과 모형을 제시하고 이를 이용하여 북한...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247074
Korean Abstract: 글로벌 금융·경제위기로 인해 경제·사회 전반의 불확실성이 커지고 있는 오늘날, 시의성 있는 기초자료와 통계적 모형들을 이용한 지역내총생산(Gross Regional Domestic Product, GRDP)의 조기추정(early estimation 또는...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314128
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942880
inflation and exchange rates maintain stability while its economy is experiencing difficulties due to the international …-of-value purposes is decreasing while the amount of foreign currency holdings for transaction purposes is intact, inflation and exchange … purposes begins to fall, exchange rates show some increase and inflation decreases. In the final stages, where the amount of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842889
English Abstract: This paper examines the properties of survey-based measures of inflation expectations in Korea …. Inflation expectations are found to be highly persistent and do not appear rational in the sense that all useful information … inflation are closely associated with the actual inflation around the time when expectations are formed and are not well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901344