This discussion paper led to a publication in the 'Journal of Econometrics', 2011, 163, 215-230.<P> We propose new scoring rules based on partial likelihood for assessing the relative out-of-sample predictive accuracy of competing density forecasts over a specific region of interest, such as the...</p>

We propose a new semiparametric procedure for estimating multivariate models with conditioning variables. The semiparametric model is based on the parametric conditional copula and nonparametric conditional marginals. To avoid the curse of dimensionality in the estimation of the latter, we...

We propose new scoring rules based on partial likelihood for assessing the relative out-of-sample predictive accuracy of competing density forecasts over a specific region of interest, such as the left tail in financial risk management. By construction, existing scoring rules based on weighted...