A new simple formula is found to correct the underestimation of the standard deviation for total lead time demand when using simple exponential smoothing. This new formula allows one to see readily the significant size of the underestimation of the traditional formula and can easily be...

Procedures for estimating a linear single-equation model by means of panel data with errors-in-variables are considered. To eliminate fixed individual heterogeneity, the equation is differenced across one or more than one periods. The differenced equations can be estimated by using as...

We consider consistent tests for stochastic dominance efficiency at any order of a given portfolio with respect to all possible portfolios constructed from a set of assets. We propose and justify approaches based on simulation and the block bootstrap to achieve valid inference in a time series...

The standard confidence regions based on the first-order approximation of quantile regression estimators can be inaccurate in small samples. We show that confidence regions based on the smoothed empirical likelihood ratio have coverage errors of order n^{-1} and may be Bartlett-corrected to...

This paper takes a computationnaly simple LS approach to develop a more efficient estimation procedure, which we call Residual Augmented Least Square (RALS), than OLS when the errors are not normally distributed. The efficiency gain is from manipulating the higher moment conditions implied by...

The aim of this paper is to give a formal definition and consistent estimates of the extremes of a population. This definition relies on a threshold value that delimits the extremes and on the uniform convergence of the distribution of these extremes to a Pareto type distribution. The tail...

We characterize the robustness of subsampling procedures by deriving a formula for the breakdown point of subsampling quantiles. This breakdown point can be very low for moderate subsampling block sizes, which implies the fragility of subsampling procedures, even when they are applied to robust...

We consider the issue of cross-sectional aggregation in nonstationary and heterogeneous panels where each unit cointegrates. We derive asymptotic properties of the aggregate estimate, and necessary and su¢ cient conditions for cointegration to hold in the aggregate relationship. We then analyze...

Let X1,X2,...Xn be i.i.d. N-dimensional random variables having an unknown support of probability density denoted G; we suppose that G belongs to a functional class "g" of compact sets with smooth upper surface called boundary fragments. The problem consists in testing the hypotheses G=Go...

Empirical evidence from time series methods which assume the usual I(0)/I(1) paradigm suggests that the efficient market hypothesis, stating that spot and futures prices of a commodity should cointegrate with a unit slope on futures prices, does not hold. However, these statistical methods are...