This paper analyzes the performance of portfolio strategies that invest in no-load, open-end U.S. domestic equity mutual funds, incorporating predictability in (i) manager skills, (ii) fund risk-loadings, and (iii) benchmark returns. Predictability in manager skills is found to be the dominant...

This paper analyzes the performance of portfolio strategies that invest in no-load, open-end U.S.; domestic equity mutual funds, incorporating predictability in (i) manager skills, (ii) fund risk-loadings, and (iii) benchmark returns. Predictability in manager skills is found to be the dominant...

This paper analyzes the performance of portfolio strategies that invest in noload, open-end U.S. domestic equity mutual funds, incorporating predictability in (i) manager skills, (ii) fund risk-loadings, and (iii) benchmark returns. Predictability in manager skills is found to be the dominant...

Low credit risk firms realize higher returns than high credit risk firms. This effect is puzzling because investors seem to pay a premium for bearing credit risk. This paper shows that the credit risk effect manifests itself due to the poor performance of low-rated stocks during periods of...

Past work suggests that momentum is among the most robust market anomalies, as well as momentum profitability concentrates in firms with high information uncertainty and high credit risk. This paper shows that such momentum concentrations naturally emerge in an equilibrium setting with...

This paper shows that the puzzling negative cross-sectional relation between dispersion in analysts' earnings forecasts and future stock returns is a manifestation of financial distress, as proxied by credit rating downgrades. Focusing on a sample of firms rated by Samp;P, we show that the...

This paper studies whether incorporating business cycle predictors is beneficial to a real time optimizing investor who must allocate funds across 3123 NYSE-AMEX stocks and the risk-free asset over the 1972-2003 period. Realized returns are positive when adjusted by the Fama-French and momentum...

This paper documents a strong relationship between short-run reversals and stock return illiquidity, even after controlling for trading volume. The largest reversals and the potential contrarian trading strategy profits occur in the high turnover, low liquidity stocks, as the price pressures...