Monetary valuation of climate-change impacts, and the cost-benefit analysis of climate-change policy into which it feeds, has long been controversial. Writers in ecological economics have done much to illuminate its difficulties. For the purposes of this paper, the key difficulties of the...

Several recent studies have reported the costs of adapting to climate change, including for developing countries. They have similar-sized estimates and have been influential in United Nations (UN) negotiations aimed at tackling climate change. Our reassessment of one of these studies, which...

High crude oil prices, uncertainties about the consequences of climate change and the eventual decline of conventional oil production raise the prospects of alternative fuels, such as biofuels. This paper describes a simple probabilistic model of the costs of energy crops, drawing on the user's...

Uncertainty surrounding the plausibility of predicted increases in traffic on the UK's roads highlights the need for an alternative to unconditional forecasting in transport planning. A scenario-based method, capable of dealing with this kind of uncertainty, is used to explore three alternative...