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It is a common fear in many countries that ideological parties will come to power through elections but will implement extreme policies. Many countries cope with this problem by overriding the election results when such parties are elected. We demonstrate that the alternative approach of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413586
Under the assumption that individuals know the conditional distributions of signals given the payoff-relevant parameters, existing results conclude that as individuals observe infinitely many signals, their beliefs about the parameters will eventually merge. We first show that these results are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011132387
In the reputation literature, players have \emph{commitment types} which represent the possibility that they do not have standard payoffs but instead are constrained to follow a particular plan. In this paper, we show that arbitrary commitment types can emerge from incomplete information about...
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We show that in any game that is continuous at infinity, if a plan of action a<sub>i</sub> is played by a type t<sub>i</sub> in a Bayesian Nash equilibrium, then there are perturbations of t<sub>i</sub> for which a<sub>i</sub> is the only rationalizable plan and whose unique rationalizable belief regarding the play of the game is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010970153
We analyze the subgame-perfect equilibria of a game where two agents bargain in order to share the risk in their assets that will pay dividends once at some fixed date. The uncertainty about the size of the dividends is resolved gradually by the payment date and each agent has his own view about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005579644
Most economic analyses presume that there are limited differences in the prior beliefs of individuals, as assumption most often justified by the argument that sufficient common experiences and observations will eliminate disagreements. We investigate this claim using a simple model of Bayesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005777666
I analyze a sequential bargaining model in which players are optimistic about their bargaining power (measured as the probability of making offers), but learn as they play the game. I show that there exists a uniquely predetermined settlement date, such that in equilibrium the players always...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005549846