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We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at … nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one …-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186704
We draw on the monthly Survey of Business Uncertainty (SBU) to make three observations about pandemic-era uncertainty … uncertainty at one-year lookahead horizons. That is, the one-year VIX has moved similarly to our survey-based measure of (average …) firm-level subjective uncertainty at one-year forecast horizons. Second, looking within the distribution of beliefs in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416311
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013391151
We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at … nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one …-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013375282
We derive robust predictions on the effects of uncertainty on short run investment dynamics in a broad class of models … of UK firms and a stock returns-based measure of uncertainty. As predicted we find that uncertainty reduces firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293014
We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at … nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one …-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013351768
We draw on the monthly Survey of Business Uncertainty (SBU) to make three observations about pandemic-era uncertainty … uncertainty at one-year lookahead horizons. That is, the one-year VIX has moved similarly to our survey-based measure of (average …) firm-level subjective uncertainty at one-year forecast horizons. Second, looking within the distribution of beliefs in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012653490