A new technique for estimating countries' de facto exchange rate regimes synthesizes two approaches. One approach estimates the implicit de facto basket weights in an ordinary least squares (OLS) regression of the local currency value rate against major currency values. Here the hypothesis is a...

Certains pays d`Ameacute;rique latine, d`Asie et d`autres reacute;gions du monde qui ont entrepris de libeacute;raliser leurs opeacute;rations financiegrave;res et de stabiliser leur eacute;conomie en s`appuyant sur le taux de change ont vu affluer les capitaux eacute;trangers depuis 1991. Nombre...

The paper offers a new approach to estimate de facto exchange rate regimes, a synthesis of two techniques. One is a technique that the authors have used in the past to estimate implicit de facto weights when the hypothesis is a basket peg with little flexibility. The second is a technique used...

This paper offers a possible theoretical rationale - currently lacking - for the proposition that intermediate exchange rate regimes are no longer viable. According to this proposition, countries are being pushed to the ldquo;corners,rdquo; the extremes of either free floating or firm fixing. We...

We apply a comprehensive set of survey data, on forecasts for 24 currencies against the dollar, to four topics. (1) We find some predictive power in the survey data (and in the right direction!). As in past tests, the forecasts are nevertheless biased: variability of expected depreciation is...

Many studies have replicated the finding that the forward rate is a biased predictor of the future change in the spot exchange rate. Usually the forward discount actually points in the wrong direction. But, at least until recently, those studies applied only to advanced economies and major...