Showing 1 - 10 of 16
precious metals (that is, gold, silver, platinum and palladium), while accounting for geopolitics within a multivariate system …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732605
: non-informative updating, Bayesian updating, and incomplete updating. We find causal evidence that agents imperfectly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907881
consumption experiences. We develop a theoretical model of Bayesian updating, perform comparative statics over the model, and show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011010136
Floor and Ceiling model. Bayesian and classical methods for estimation and testing are developed and compared in the context … of an application involving U.S. macroeconomic data. In terms of statistical significance both classical and Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005385072
This paper introduces a new model of trend (or underlying) inflation. In contrast to many earlier approaches, which allow for trend inflation to evolve according to a random walk, ours is a bounded model which ensures that trend inflation is constrained to lie in an interval. The bounds of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009653402
This paper introduces a new model of trend (or underlying) inflation. In contrast to many earlier approaches, which allow for trend inflation to evolve according to a random walk, ours is a bounded model which ensures that trend inflation is constrained to lie in an interval. The bounds of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010552401
transition autoregressive models or time varying parameter models). Bayesian econometric methods for inference are developed for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010570531
(such as random walk, recursive OLS-AR(1) models, recursive OLS with all predictive variables models) but also the Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010711932
transition autoregressive models or time varying parameter models). Bayesian econometric methods for inference are developed for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821083
This paper develops a structured dynamic factor model for the spreads between London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and overnight index swap (OIS) rates for a panel of banks. Our model involves latent factors which relect liquidity and credit risk. Our empirical results show that surges in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009150786