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A chronology of turning points in economic activity : Spain, 1850 – 2011
Berge, Travis J.; Jordà, Òscar - In: SERIEs : Journal of the Spanish Economic Association 4 (2013) 1, pp. 1-34
underlying state of the economy. We conclude by evaluating candidate leading indicators and hence construct recession probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009756961
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A chronology of turning points in economic activity: Spain, 1850–2011
Berge, Travis; Jordà, Òscar - In: SERIEs 4 (2013) 1, pp. 1-34
underlying state of the economy. We conclude by evaluating candidate leading indicators and hence construct recession probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010994609
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A chronology of turning points in economic activity: Spain, 1850 - 2011
Berge, Travis J.; Jordà, Òscar - In: SERIEs - Journal of the Spanish Economic Association 4 (2013) 1, pp. 1-34
underlying state of the economy. We conclude by evaluating candidate leading indicators and hence construct recession probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317138
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The time for austerity : estimating the average treatment effect of fiscal policy
Jordà, Òscar; Taylor, Alan M. - In: The economic journal : the journal of the Royal … 126 (2016) 590, pp. 219-255
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011481828
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When credit bites back : leverage, business cycles and crises
Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2012
This paper studies the role of credit in the business cycle, with a focus on private credit overhang. Based on a study of the universe of over 200 recession episodes in 14 advanced countries between 1870 and 2008, we document two key facts of the modern business cycle: financial-crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009686557
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Macrofinancial history and the new business cycle facts
Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - In: NBER macroeconomics annual 31 (2016), pp. 213-263
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011977057
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Betting the house
Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - In: Journal of international economics 96 (2015), pp. 2-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387738
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Macrofinancial history and the new business cycle facts
Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011564504
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Sovereigns versus banks : credit, crises, and consequences
Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - In: Journal of the European Economic Association 14 (2016) 1, pp. 45-79
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011565445
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Assessing the historical role of credit : business cycles, financial crises and the legacy of Charles S. Peirce
Jordà, Òscar - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 3, pp. 729-740
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515586