Borowska, Agnieszka; Hoogerheide, Lennart; Koopman, Siem Jan - 2019
density of logreturns. Our proposed approach originates from the Bayesian approach to parameter estimation and time series … forecasting, however it is robust in the sense that it provides a more accurate estimation of the predictive density in the region …. This quasi-Bayesian approach yields more precise parameter estimation than a fully censored posterior for all parameters …