In this paper we investigate the properties of the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test for autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and generalized ARCH (GARCH) in the presence of additive outliers (AO's). We show analytically that both the asymptotic size and power are adversely affected...

In this paper we consider empirical econometric models for nine brands of fast-moving nondurable consumer product using weekly observed scanning data on market share and distribution conditional on advertising, price, and promotion activities. Since the data show nonstationary characteristics,...

Regime-switching models, like the smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) model are typically applied to time series of moderate length. Hence, the nonlinear features which these models intend to describe may be reflected in only a few observations. Conversely, neglected outliers in a linear...

Asset liability management (ALM) is an important and challenging problem for institutional investors and financial intermediaries. The requirement to fulfill its liablilities constrains the institutional investor in its asset allocation possiblilites. We formulate an ALM model for pension funds...

In this paper we investigate the properties of the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test for autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and generalized ARCH (GARCH) in the presence of additive outliers (AO's). We show analytically that both the asymptotic size and power are adversely affected...

In this paper we consider empirical econometric models for nine brands of a fast-moving nondurable consumer product using weekly observed scanning data on market share and distribution conditional on advertising, price, and promotion activities. Since the data show nonstationary characteristics,...

In the present paper we confine ourselves to proposing tests for smooth transition nonlinearity in the presence ou outliers. We consider outlier robust estimation techniques to modify the tests developed by Luukkonen et al

Standard unit root tests and cointegration tests are sensitive to atypical events such as outliers and structural breaks. This paper uses outlier robust estimation techniques to reduce the impact of these events on cointegration analysis. As a byproduct of computing the robust estimator, we...

In this paper we propose a simple method to measure the impact of promotional activities on weekly market share. The main idea is to assume that if promotion has an effect, it generates an additive outlier or a temporary level shift in the market share data. We propose an outlier robust...