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We study the price discovery process of cryptocurrencies that trade in unregulated and fragmented markets and have a non-traditional business model. ICOs exhibit significant inefficiencies with VRs (Variance Ratios) less than 0.7 for up to 5-years from the issue date. IEOs with a similar...
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This paper studies the effects of information exchange and social networks on the performance of prediction markets with endogenous information acquisition. We provide a game-theoretic framework to resolve the question: Can social networks and information exchange promote the forecast efficiency...
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Information aggregation mechanisms are designed explicitly for collecting and aggregating dispersed information. An excellent example of the use of this "wisdom of crowds" is a prediction market. The purpose of our Twitter-based prediction market is to suggest that carefully designed market...
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Opinion spammers exploit consumer trust by posting false or deceptive reviews that may have a negative impact on both consumers and businesses. These dishonest posts are difficult to detect because of complex interactions between several user characteristics such as review velocity, volume, and...
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