This paper examines the movements in EU unemployment from two perspectives: (a) the NRU/NAIRU perspective, in which … unemployment movements are attributed largely to changes in the long-run equilibrium unemployment rate and (b) the chain …-reaction perspective, in which unemployment movements are viewed as the outcome of the interplay between labor market shocks and prolonged …

Individual labour market transitions from unemployment into temporary work are often succeeded by a transition from … unemployment to temporary jobs and unobserved determinants of the transition rates. The data contain multiple spells in labour … unemployment and they substantially increase the fraction of unemployed workers who have regular work within a few years after …

growth drivers. Estimating a system of labor market equations for a panel of EU countries, we derive the dynamic unemployment …This paper presents a reappraisal of unemployment movements in the European Union. Our analysis is based on the chain … reaction theory of unemployment, which focuses on (a) the interaction among labor market adjustment processes, (b) the …

This paper examines the movements in EU unemployment from two perspectives: (a) the NRU/NAIRU perspective, in which … unemployment movements are attributed largely to changes in the long-run equilibrium unemployment rate and (b) the chain …-reaction perspective, in which unemployment movements are viewed as the outcome of the interplay between labor market shocks and prolonged …

flexible multi-state Mixed Proportional Hazard specifications for transition rates between employment, unemployment, and …' transition rates from unemployment to employment increase. Longer periods of non-employment generally decrease future transition …