This paper examines whether the existence and the timing of real balance effects contribute to the determination of the absolute price level, as suggested byPatinkin (1949,1965), and if they affect conditions for local equilibrium uniqueness and stability. I show that there exists a unique price...

This paper examines how money demand induced real balance effects contribute to the determination of the price level, as suggested by Patinkin (1949,1965), and if they affect conditions for local equilibrium uniqueness and stability. There exists a unique price level sequence that is consistent...

Aggregated output in industrialized countries has become less volatile over the pastdecades. Whether this “Great Moderation” can be found in firm level data as wellremains disputed. We study the evolution of firm level output volatility using abalanced panel dataset on German firms that...

Using the Consensus Economics dataset with individual expertforecasts from G7 countries we investigate determinants of disagreement (crosssectionaldispersion of forecasts) about six key economic indicators. Disagreementabout real variables (GDP, consumption, investment and unemployment)has a...

Much recent research has focused on the development and analysis of extensions of the New Keynesianframework that model labor market frictions and unemployment explicitly. The present paper describessome of the essential ingredients and properties of those models, and their implications for...

In practice, central banks have been confronted with a trade-off between stabilising inflation and output when dealing with rising oil prices. This contrasts with the result in the standard New Keynesian model that ensuring complete price stability is the optimal thing to do, even when an oil...

While consumption habits have been utilised as a means of generating a hump shapedoutput response to monetary policy shocks in sticky-price New Keynesian economies,there is relatively little analysis of the impact of habits (particularly, external habits) onoptimal policy. In this paper we...

In the early 1990s, a consensus emerged among the leading experts in the field of small and micro business finance. It is based on three elements: The focus of projects should be on improving the entire financial sector of a given developing country; a commercial approach should be adopted,...

In light of the recent financial crises in the emerging markets, the coming-into-force of the financial services agreement under the GATS has been considered a success. While the agreement provides forlittle new liberalization but rather formalizes the status quo, it was feared that governments...

The paper shows that in a stylized model with two countries, characterized bydifferent levels of nancial development, the following facts can be replicated: 1)persistent current account surpluses and 2) high TFP growth in China. Because ofliquidity shocks and credit constraints, investment by...