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Commodity price uncertainty imposes large costs on society. On the macro level, it results in sudden and unexpected shifts in current account imbalances and real GDP volatility, while on the micro level, it leads to allocation inefficiencies. Accurate price forecasts have the potential to remove...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009474968
of state revenue from corporate tax and to forecast tax return from corporate income tax for the following year. Research …:• Part 1 presents the impact of state revenue on corporate income tax, econometrical forecast models proposed by scientists …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009478759
-WOODS - 3. THEORIE DER ZIELZONEN - 4. WECHSELKURSSPEKULATION IM KRUGMAN-MODELL - 5. WECHSELKURSSPEKULATION IN ZIELZONEN ALS … analysed:1. INTRODUCTION - 2. THE DISCUSSION ABOUT TARGET ZONES IN THE POST BRETTON WOODS ERA - 3. TARGET ZONE THEORY - 4 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471730
Untersuchungsziel dieser finanzwissenschaftlichen Arbeit ist die Wirkung einer Tobin-Steuer als spezielle Transaktionssteuer auf das Devisen-Handelsvolumen und die Wechselkursvolatilität. Ausgangspunkt bildet das mikroökonomische Investitionsverhalten der Marktteilnehmer, das wir mit Hilfe von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471738
fundamental factors do contribute little to the forecast. Especially in the '80s empirical investigations about the information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452580
explaining exchange rate movements. The asset market theory of exchange rate determination implies that exchange rates are mainly … driven by the development of macroeconomic fundamentals. Furthermore the asset market theory assumes that foreign exchange … speculation, economic theory states that speculation can have either a stabilizing effect or a destabilizing effect on exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009433679
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009463981
The efficient market hypothesis states that the market incorporates all available information to provide an accurate valuation of the asset at any given time. However, most models for forecasting the return or volatility of assets completely disregard the arrival of asset specific news (i.e.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437639
indicate,with one exception, no meaningful differences in forecast accuracy between outlook forecastsand futures prices. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443339
flexibility and model averaging consistently outperform Iowa outlook estimates at all forecast horizons. Evidence from the … encompassing tests, which are highly stringent tests of forecast performance, indicates that many price forecasts do provide … incremental information relative to Iowa. Simple combinations of these models and outlook forecasts are able to reduce forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443351