/USD Wechselkurs mit experimentellen Prognosen von Studenten für eine simulierte Zeitreihe verglichen. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass sich …

entry to the euro. We derive conditional probability distributions for the difference between the future realisations of …, Pesaran and Smith (2005). The paper briefly describes the GVAR which has been estimated for 25 countries and the euro area … euro area as a result of entry. It examines the sensitivity of these results to a variety of assumptions about UK entry. …

after the introduction of the euro for the EMU countries asopposed to the non-EMU countries. I do not obtain strong evidence … supporting PPP forthe EMU countries since the euro adoption, but the faster mean reversion I observe inthe few EMU countries …) countriesthat adopted the euro, and 3 non-EMU countries] from 1993 to 2002 using a dynamicpanel data model. My main contributions to …

exchange rate stability constraints imposed by the obligatory participation in the ERM2 on the path to the euro. The modified … policy framework is based on targeting the differential between the domestic and the implicit euro area inflation forecasts …