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correction model (VECM) and the vector moving average model (VMA) with quarterly time series data from 1983 to 2000. This study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009444008
European participants whose delivery location in EU. Both Johanson cointegration test andVector Error Cointegration Mechnism … (VECM) are conducted to test long-run and short-run efficiency test for theEuropean spot market and four different futures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009445965
financial sector in the early 1990s, using for the first time, state-of-art multivariate cointegration and vector error … correction models (VECM). From this robust test we find that for the Indian economy over the sample period 1951-1999 money and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009465499
-link forecast generated from a VECM with two cointegrating vectors (KO-GA and GANR prices) outperforms both single-link forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009484127
A structural break is viewed as a permanent change in the parameter vector of a model. Using taxonomies of all sources of forecast errors for both conditional mean and conditional variance processes, we consider the impacts of breaks and their relevance in forecasting models: (a) where the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441390
determining the relationship among markets remains unclear. The cointegration framework, OLS and principal component regressions … are applied in order to investigate the influence of geographical distance on the cointegration relationship between … relation between distance and the elasticity of cointegration. Moreover, the region in which the market is located and a better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443372
determining the relationship among markets remains unclear. The cointegration framework, OLS and principal component regressions … are applied in order to investigate the influence of geographical distance on the cointegration relationship between … relation between distance and the elasticity of cointegration. Moreover, the region in which the market is located and a better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446334
This paper investigates the existence of cointegration and causality between the stock market price indices of Thailand … obtained from these two residual-based cointegration tests, potential long-run benefits exist from diversifying the investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009457622
Commodity and energy prices have exhibited an unprecedented increase between October 2006 and July 2008, only to fall sharply during the last months of 2008. Many explanations have been offered to this phenomenon, including steadily increasing demand from China and India, large mandated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009444738
The popular press has triumphantly announced that the cause of the obesity epidemic is “junk food.” After a moment’s reflection, however, it seems likely that the true causal structure of the obesity epidemic can be neither single-equation nor univariate. Therefore, while the hypothesis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446435