Du, Ning; Budescu, David V - 2007
' future expectations: (1) forecasts of future price, and (2) subjective confidence of future stock price, which includes 50 …%, 70% and 90% confidence intervals. Past volatility has a weak effect on future forecasts that are sensitive to minor …' confidence and improves forecast accuracy. The calibration of the confidence intervals was not affected by the stocks' volatility …