This study investigated the magnitude of forecast improvements resulting from correction of inefficiencies in USDA … cotton forecasts over 1999/00 to 2008/09 marketing years. The aspects of forecast performance included in this study were 1 …) bias and trends in bias, 2) correlation between forecast error and forecast level, 3) autocorrelation in forecast errors, 4 …

This study uses quantile regressions to estimate historical forecast error distributions forWASDE forecasts of corn … regressions with fiterrors expressed as a function of forecast lead time are consistent with theoretical forecastvariance …

of state revenue from corporate tax and to forecast tax return from corporate income tax for the following year. Research …:• Part 1 presents the impact of state revenue on corporate income tax, econometrical forecast models proposed by scientists …

. Results suggest USDA price forecasts are not optimal. Broiler price forecasts are biased, and all the forecast series tend to … suggests that live cattle forecasts could be improved with a composite forecast. However, the USDA correctly identifies the …

. Broiler price forecasts are biased, and all the forecast series tend to repeat errors. While the USDA forecasts are more … with a composite forecast that includes a time-series alternative. Despite this, the USDA correctly identifies the …

parameters while the second half is for the forecast period. The following models are employed: a random walk model, a historical …

indicate,with one exception, no meaningful differences in forecast accuracy between outlook forecastsand futures prices. The …