Showing 1 - 10 of 1,119
volatility on foreign exchange markets. Starting point is the market participant's microeconomic investment decision, which is … trading volume and volatility on foreign exchange markets. We apply various two-country-models with representative market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471738
explaining exchange rate movements. The asset market theory of exchange rate determination implies that exchange rates are mainly … driven by the development of macroeconomic fundamentals. Furthermore the asset market theory assumes that foreign exchange … speculation, economic theory states that speculation can have either a stabilizing effect or a destabilizing effect on exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009433679
Ergebnisse dieser Studien führten in den letzten Jahren zu der weitverbreiteten Meinung, dass Interventionen am Devisenmarkt kein … über Notenbankinterventionen am Devisenmarkt näher zu bringen und neue Aspekte in Bezug auf Emerging Markets zu diskutieren …. Der Kernpunkt befasst sich mit der Frage, warum Notenbanken in Emerging Markets am Devisenmarkt intervenieren und ob diese …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009433706
Trueman [1994] provides a model of forecasting behavior in which analysts do not always make forecasts that are … sessions to investigate individual forecasting behavior. In each session, four individuals predict earnings based on possibly … divergent information. We manipulate forecast ability so that two individuals are strong analysts and two are weak. In three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009459094
Informes recientes muestran la creciente adopción en el sector financiero de técnicas de aprendizaje automático o machine learning (ML) en la gestión del riesgo de crédito. En este entorno, los supervisores se encuentran ante el reto de permitir que se maximicen las oportunidades derivadas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012525231
Artículo de revista ; The use of artificial intelligence tools has escalated recently in all sectors of the economy owing, among other factors, to the growing volume of digital data and higher computational capacity. Major benefits may be reaped from applying these tools to the provision of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012532407
Uno de los principales retos en el uso de modelos de aprendizaje automático, o machine learning en inglés (ML), en finanzas es cómo explicar sus resultados. Recientemente han aparecido técnicas de interpretabilidad con este objetivo, pero existe discusión sobre su fiabilidad. En este...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013267753
features of this transformation, especially the use of machine learning algorithms for forecasting, and we detail some of the … forecasting. To this end, we make significant use of the debates that took place during the 1st conference on Artificial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013414504
The decision tree is a well-known methodology for classification and regression. In this dissertation, we focus on the minimization of the misclassification rate for decision tree classifiers. We derive the necessary equations that provide the optimal tree prediction, the estimated risk of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009431076
A procedure is proposed for examining different aspects of performance for judgemental directional probability predictions of exchange rate movements. In particular, a range of new predictive performance measures is identified to highlight specific expressions of strengths and weaknesses in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435350