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Two reasons to make aggregated probability forecasts more extreme
Baron, Jonathan; Mellers, Barbara A.; Tetlock, Philip E.; … - In: Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for … 11 (2014) 2, pp. 133-145
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010382759
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Hidden experts in the crowd : using meta-predictions to leverage expertise in single-question prediction problems
Wilkening, Tom; Martinie, Marcellin; Howe, Piers D. L. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 68 (2022) 1, pp. 487-508
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821209
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The contingent wisdom of dyads : when discussion enhances vs. undermines the accuracy of collaborative judgments
Minson, Julia A.; Mueller, Jennifer S.; Larrick, Richard P. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 64 (2018) 9, pp. 4177-4192
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011921508
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Extracting the wisdom of crowds when information is shared
Palley, Asa B.; Soll, Jack B. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 65 (2019) 5, pp. 2291-2309
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039760
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Boosting the wisdom of crowds within a single judgment problem : weighted averaging based on peer predictions
Palley, Asa B.; Satopää, Ville A. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 69 (2023) 9, pp. 5128-5146
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014392893
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Prediction markets for economic forecasting
Snowberg, Erik; Wolfers, Justin; Zitzewitz, Eric - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507024
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Prediction as sport : the promise of prediction polls and markets
Kingsley, Jeremy - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488943
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Forecasting elections from voters' perceptions of candidates' ability to handle issues
Graefe, Andreas; Armstrong, Jon Scott - In: Journal of behavioral decision making 26 (2013) 3, pp. 295-303
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781313
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Distilling the wisdom of crowds : prediction markets vs. prediction polls
Atanasov, Pavel; Rescober, Phillip; Stone, Eric; Swift, … - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 63 (2017) 3, pp. 691-706
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011656362
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Accounting for word-of-mouth effects in preference-based market forecasts
Pescher, Christian; Spann, Martin - In: Journal of forecasting 33 (2014) 2, pp. 95-107
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424869