The uprising and military confrontation in Libya that began in February 2011 has led to disruptions of gas supplies to Europe. An analysis of how Europe has compensated for these missing gas volumes shows that this situation has not affected security of supply. However, this situation would...

An important part of Bolivia’s fiscal revenues are directly tied to world oil prices. Since oil prices are very volatile, so are Bolivia’s fiscal revenues. For example, if oil prices vary as much during the next couple of decades as they did during the previous two decades, then the fiscal...

The increase in natural gas sales to Brazil in the coming years will bring about substantial changes in the Bolivian economy. In this paper, we use a general equilibrium model to simulate the changes that will occur in the Bolivian economy and will consider the distributional impacts that are...

This paper provides a textbook example of integration between commodity markets, and the subsequent price convergence or absence thereof. We analyze price relations between spot markets for natural gas in Europe. We apply time-varying coefficient estimation applying the Kalman filter, to test...

Die in jüngster Zeit spürbar gestiegenen Preise für Strom und Gas haben zu Forderungen nach einer verschärften Missbrauchsaufsicht entsprechend dem Gesetz gegen Wettbewerbsbeschränkung geführt. Wird eine gravierende Verschärfung des Kartellrechts für große Energieversorger zu einer...

Die Gasversorgung sieht sich mit zwei widerstreitenden Zielen konfrontiert: auf der einen Seite die Liberalisierung und wettbewerbskonforme Ausgestaltung bislang monopolistisch organisierter Märkte, die zu deutlich sinkenden Bereitstellungskosten und Energiepreisen führen soll; auf der anderen...

We examine the degree of natural gas market integration in Europe, North America and Japan, between the mid 1990's and 2002. The relationship between the international gas marker prices, and their relation to the oil price, are investigated through principal component analysis and Johansen...

Building on a model of the interaction of risk-averse frms that compete in forward and spot markets, we develop an empirical strategy to test whether oligopolistic frms use forward contracts for strategic motives, for risk-hedging, or for both. An increase in the number of players weakens the...

The report reviews key issues in energy trade and cooperation between the EU and CIS countries. It describes historical trends of oil and gas demand in the EU, other European and CIS countries and offers demand forecasts until 2030. Recent developments in oil and gas production and exports from...