In this paper we design a simple trading strategy to exploit the hypothesized distinct informational content of the arithmetic and geometric mean. The rejection of cointegration between the two stock market indicators supports this conjecture. The profits generated by this cheaply replicable...

In this paper it is shown that the number of latent factors in a multiple multivariate regression model need not be larger than the number of the response variables in order to achieve an optimal prediction. The practical importance of this lemma is outlined and an application of such a...

Microaggregation by individual ranking is one of the most commonly applied disclosure control techniques for continuous microdata. The paper studies the effect of microaggregation by individual ranking on the least squares estimation of a multiple linear regression model in continuous variables....

In der vorliegenden Arbeit werden für Berliner Mietshäuser praktikable multiple Regressionsmodelle, sog. hedonische Modelle zur Wertermittlung von Mietwohnhäusern und Wohn- und Geschäftshäusern entwickelt. Die hedonische Bewertungsmethode beurteilt Objekte nach ihren intrinsischen Werten...

In most of the empirical research on capital markets, stock market indexes are used as proxies for the aggregate market development. In previous work we found that a particular market segment might be less efficient than the whole market and hence easier to forecast. In this paper we extend the...

In recent years support vector regression (SVR), a novel neural network (NN) technique, has been successfully used for financial forecasting. This paper deals with the application of SVR in volatility forecasting. Based on a recurrent SVR, a GARCH method is proposed and is compared with a moving...

Das Carsharing hat in den vergangenen Jahren einen großen Bedeutungsgewinn zu verzeichnen. Charakteristisch sind dabei teils große Unterschiede zwischen städtischen und ländlichen Regionen sowie auch zwischen einzelnen Städten. Der vorliegende Beitrag geht der vor allem für Deutschland...

We explore convenient analytic properties of distributions constructed as mixtures of scaled and shifted t-distributions. A feature that makes this family particularly desirable for econometric applications is that it possesses closed-form expressions for its anti-derivatives (e.g., the...

In this paper we consider a nonlinear model based on neural networks as well as linear models to forecast the daily volatility of the S&P 500 and FTSE 100 indexes. As a proxy for daily volatility, we consider a consistent and unbiased estimator of the integrated volatility that is computed from...