In this paper models for the prediction of matches in the German Soccer Bundesliga are estimated. In a frst step the expected difference of the number of goals is estimated on the basis of estimated abilities of the teams. Here, a focus lies on the necessity of robust parameter estimation. In a...

Most dimension reduction methods based on nonparametric smoothing are highly sensitive to outliers and to data coming from heavy tailed distributions. We show that the recently proposed MAVE and OPG methods by Xia et al. (2002) allow us to make them robust in a relatively straightforward way...

For the problem of percentile estimation of a quantal response curve, we determine multi-objective designs which are robust with respect to misspecifications of the model assumptions. We propose a maximin approach based on efficiencies and provide designs that are simultaneously efficient with...

Many robust statistical procedures have two drawbacks. Firstly, they are computer-intensive such that they can hardly be used for massive data sets. Secondly, robust confidence intervals for the estimated parameters or robust predictions according to the fitted models are often unknown. Here, we...

This paper presents variance extraction procedures for univariate time series. The volatility of a times series is monitored allowing for non-linearities, jumps and outliers in the level. The volatility is measured using the height of triangles formed by consecutive observations of the time...

We discuss optimal design problems for a popular method of series estimation in regression problems. Commonly used design criteria are based on the generalized variance of the estimates of the coefficients in a truncated series expansion and do not take possible bias into account. We present a...