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El artículo discute la exposición de Santiago y Cante (2009) de la teoría de la decisión racional (TDR) y el modelo de utilidad esperada y controvierte su afirmación de acuerdo con la cual la Prospect Theory (PT) de Kahneman y Tversky pone en riesgo el estatus normativo de la TDR. Para ello...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276526
The most distinctive prediction of prospect theory is the fourfold pattern (FFP) of risk attitudes. People are said to be (1) risk-seeking over low-probability gains, (2) risk-averse over low-probability losses, (3) risk-averse over high-probability gains, and (4) risk-seeking over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464092
We provide a preference foundation for decision under risk resulting in a model where probability weighting is linear as long as the corresponding probabilities are not extreme (i.e., 0 or 1). This way, most of the elegance and mathematical tractability of expected utility is maintained and also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065401
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005040728
We report on an experimental study with real-world politicians. These political experts face political choice problems under risk and probability. Thus, we test the frequently observed violations of rational choice theory -the reference point effect, loss aversion, framing effects, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063155
Empirical studies of fishers’ preferences have found that most fishers are risk-averse, while expected-utility theory predicts risk neutrality even for sizable stakes. We test this prediction using data from a stated choice experiment with Swedish commercial fishers. Our results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651612
This article extends the theory of corporate risk management to encompass highly dynamic risks. Taking Viscusi'�s (1989) prospective reference from the context of individual decision making and applying it to a corporate context we propose a theory of how corporations process new information....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789691
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005709930
This paper studies a target-based procedure to rank lotteries that is normatively and observationally equivalent to the expected utility model. In view of this equivalence, the traditional utility-based language for decision making may be substituted with an alternative target-based language....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005118565
This paper describes a parametric family of utility functions for decision analysis. The parameterization is obtained by embedding the HARA class in a four-parameter representation for the risk aversion function. The resulting utility functions have only four shapes: concave, convex, S-shaped,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005118574