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This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on ?frictional growth,? describing the … expectations, there is a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our empirical analysis suggests that this Phillips curve may be … reasonably flat. We show that the persistence of inflation and unemployment, in response to monetary policy shocks, is related to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008520206
To estimate the New Keynesian model, we use four key macroeconomic series for Thailand. The priors are chosen to reflect general considerations of the appropriate model dynamics and our judgment about the Thai economy. The model is solved initially so that the baseline forecast replicates staff...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242710
weaker linkages bewteen inflation and real credit growth within Europe. While the euro area is the dominant source of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242313
Rational Beliefs it is shown instead that inflation and recessions can be substantially aggravated by the distribution of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005371102
section, various underpinnings of the "Phillips curve" relation between inflation and output are reviewed. All are concluded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666800
In order to provide medium run forecasts of headline and core HICP inflation for the euro area, we assess the … indicators help improve upon the simple Autoregressive (AR) model for forecasting HICP core inflation as well total inflation, if … in inflation in a timely manner. But, from that point of view, the construction of a ''synthetic core'' indicator helps …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056518
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998595
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998676
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on ?frictional growth,? describing the … expectations, there is a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our empirical analysis suggests that this Phillips curve may be … reasonably flat. We show that the persistence of inflation and unemployment, in response to monetary policy shocks, is related to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010955553
variations over time in the central bank's inflation target. We derive a closed-form solution for the model, and analyze its … monetary policies and inflation persistence. In particular, we employ the model to illustrate and assess the critique that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011269503