Londregan, John; Vindigni, Andrea - Collegio Carlo Alberto, Università degli Studi di Torino - 2006
We offer a rationale for elections that take place in the shadow of power. Factions unhappy with policy can threaten violence. But when they lack common knowledge about (i) one another's rationality, and (ii) their chances of victory at arms, mutual overconfidence can precipitate civil war. We...