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. For example, the nature of monotonicity of the indifference curve depends on the underlying mean. Price hedging decisions … hedging decisions within the prospect theory. We illustrate our general considerations with a thoroughly worked out example. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009226254
alternative to expected utility theory. Conventional theory posits that the optimal hedging position of a producer is not affected … producer is affected by changes in futures price levels. The implications of this price-induced hedging behavior on spot prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009002498
We investigate whether risk seeking or non-concave utility functions can help to explain the cross-sectional pattern of stock returns. For this purpose, we analyze the stochastic dominance efficiency classification of the value-weighted market portfolio relative to benchmark portfolios based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005505017
There is a large theoretical literature in both economics and psychology on decision making under ambiguity (as distinct from risk) and many preference functionals proposed in this literature for describing behaviour in such contexts. However, the empirical literature is scarce and largely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005523931
The present paper reports on a political choice experiment with elected real-world politicians. A questionnaire on political and public issues is taken to examine whether prospect theory predicts the responses of experts from the field better than rational choice theory. The results indicate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005531014
In this paper we examine how risk attitudes change with age. We present participants from age 5 to 65 with choices between simple gambles and the expected value of the gambles. The gambles are over both gains and losses, and vary in the probability of the non-zero payoff. Surprisingly, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005490027
This paper selectively reviews the literature on behavioural finance, focusing on the aggregate market implications of the behavioural biases that this literature has identified. Advocates of behavioural economics and finance argue that economic agents behave in a way which departs significantly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005422692
Since Kahneman and Tversky (1979), it has been generally recognized that decision makers overweight low probabilities and underweight high probabilities. Of the several weighting functions that have been proposed, that of Prelec (1998) has the attractions that it is parsimonious, consistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005422702
Evidence shows that (i) people overweight low probabilities and underweight high probabilities, but (ii) ignore events of extremely low probability and treat extremely high probability events as certain. Decision models, such as rank dependent utility (RDU) and cumulative prospect theory (CP),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005422703
Tax evasion analysis is typically based on an expected utility theory (EUT) framework. However, this leads to several qualitative and quantitative puzzles. Given actual probabilities of audit and penalty rates the return on evasion ranges from 91-98 percent. So why don’t most of us evade?...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005422712