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primary deficit created, stockflow adjustment, the real growth of the GDP and real interest rates. On the basis of results of … the European Communities (2009) a statistical estimate is given of the trends in the primary deficit for EU-12, after … the primary deficit, due to the relatively strong negative correlation between those two variables in the past, whilst the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010667322
This paper proposes a probabilistic approach to public debt sustainability analysis (DSA) using "fan charts." These depict the magnitude of risks-upside and downside-surrounding public debt projections as a result of uncertain economic conditions and policies. We propose a simulation algorithm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826339
This paper is designed to analyze the impact of public debt on economic growth in the case of Indonesia over the period of 1999-2009. First, we explore the literature of the debt dynamics as well as fiscal sustainability. Second, we develop a fiscal model of economic growth. Finally, we estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010897992
The Sixth Review Under the Extended Arrangement with Ireland highlights that Ireland’s policy implementation has continued to be steadfast. Ownership of the program remains strong despite the considerable challenges the country is facing. Ireland’s progress in strengthening the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243878
Regierungen können Extrahaushalte gründen, um die Finanzierung staatlicher Aufgaben aus dem Kernhaushalt auszulagern. Die bis zum Jahr 2009 bestehende deutsche Schuldenregel sah eine Ausnahme für Extrahaushalte vor und deshalb bestanden für den Bund und die Länder Anreize zur Verschuldung...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010748304
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011124324
The aim of this article is to assess the sustainability of fiscal policy in 18 developing and emerging countries, using the recursive algorithm developed by Croce and Juan-Ramón (2003). In general, the results suggest that most countries were identified as presenting large unsustainable fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011004901
As the world economy slowly recovers from the very deep and widespread recession of recent years, many countries confront very serious fiscal imbalances. How much time they have to deal with these imbalances is a central question, the salience of which can only have been increased by the ongoing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009395207
during recent years have produced substantial results. The fiscal deficit has been brought down significantly and, despite … déficits persistants. Les efforts déployés ces dernières années ont été très fructueux. Le déficit budgétaire a été nettement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642473
lower debt-to-GDP ratio. We find that consolidations tended to be larger when the initial deficit was high and adjustment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142001