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and fit the observations) and predicted evidence (i.e., when evidence verifies the prediction of a hypothesis formulated …The difference between accommodated evidence (i.e. when evidence is known first and a hypothesis is proposed to explain … before observing the evidence) is investigated. According to Bayesian confirmation theory, accommodated and predicted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019097
Maniadis et al. (2013) present a theoretical framework that aims at providing insights into the mechanics of proper inference. They suggest that a decision about whether to call an experimental finding noteworthy, or deserving of great attention, should be based on the calculated post-study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884472
In their article “One Swallow Doesn’t Make a Summer: New Evidence on Anchoring Effects,” Zacharias Maniadis, Fabio … Tufano, and John List (2014) present a framework for statistical inference. Presenting evidence from a simulation, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010735667
In this paper, we study functional regression and its properties in testing the hypothesis of a constant zero mean function or an unknown constant non-zero mean function. As we show, the associated Wald test statistics have standard chi-square limiting null distributions, standard non-central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005109544
demands for evidence to demonstrate student achievement of stated learning goals. This contextual frame opens the door to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010883356
, in the difficulty of obtaining what is viewed as 'hard' evidence in support of some of the central claims. For example … only kind of evidence accepted by much of the profession is the testing of econometric hypotheses generated from formal … models. The sort of evidence found in persuasive sources such as DeLong's 'Cornucopia' consists of historical examples and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004966922
evidence that the natural science are much more heavily constrained by evidence and observation than by theory while the social … sciences are constrained by prior theory and hardly at all by direct evidence. Current examples of the latter proposition are … tool to constrain the development of a new social science by direct (what economists dismiss as anecdotal) evidence and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004983496
The growing field of studies of opinion formation using physical formalisms and computer simulation based tools suffers from relative lack of connection to the 'real world' societal behaviour. Such sociophysics research should aim at explaining observations or at proposing new ones....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004983539
We contrast two approaches to the prediction of latent variables in the model of factor analysis. The likelihood …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005481783
I address the topic of pragmatic methodology as a practitioner in applied microeconomics who has been working in the … still nascent field of the 'economics of organization'. My purpose is both to make explicit the methodology out of which … will develop in the process, maybe even a consensus. At a minimum, it will be useful to have each implicit methodology made …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004966921