(VF)L’article présente une méthode d’observation dynamique des activités de prise de décision et de « sensemaking » qui fondent la capacité de l’organisation à gérer l’imprévu. Cette méthode, développée dans le contexte de la sûreté nucléaire, vise à éviter les biais de...

We model an assurance game played within a population with two types of individuals -- short-sighted and foresighted. Foresighted people have a lower discount rate than short sighted people. These phenotypes interact with each other. We define the persistent interaction of foresighted people...

One of the most significant and robust characteristics of decision making is persistence. An example of this is brand loyalty -- the repeat purchase of new products of the same brand. This paper attempts to show that previous explanations of this phenomenon (switching costs, habit and unobserved...

This paper develops a theoretical framework for analyzing incentive schemes under bounded rationality. It starts from a standard principal-agent model and then superimposes an assumption of boundedly rational behavior on the part of the agent. Boundedly rational behavior is modeled as an...

The objective of this paper is to explore the extent to which human judgement and resultant decision-making in a natural setting reflects the performance characteristics suggested by experimental work. in order to explore the quality of decisions made in a natural setting, an analysis is...

Diagrams are a graphical representation of the information contained in a UML model, and are an essential feature of UML modelling. Each UML diagram is designed to let you view a software system from a different perspective and to varying levels of abstraction.

A growing literature has brought to our attention the importance of information transmission and aggregation for economic and political behavior. Many recent studies of cascades point to the possibility of information cascades in economies with local learning and information transmission....