We build a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with five sectors (1 - mining; 2 - manufacturing; 3 - electricity, gas and water; 4 - trade, transport and communication; 5 - other). The model is estimated on 29 time-series of Russia statistical data. We analyse the out-of-sample...

This article compares properties of different non-linear Kalman filters: well-known Unscented Kalman filter (UKF), Central Difference Kalman Filter (CDKF) and unknown Quadratic Kalman filter (QKF). Small financial DSGE model is repeatedly estimated by maximum quasi-likelihood methods with...

A dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with endogenous defaults of firms is developed. Proposed mechanism of defaults is very flexible. It takes into account amount of assets owned by firms. It suggests that banks receive some payment from firm after default. The model is...

This article suggests new approach to approximation of moments of nonlinear DSGE models. These approximations are fast and accurate enough to use them for estimation of parameters of nonlinear DSGE models. A small financial DSGE model is repeatedly estimated by several approaches. Approximations...

A medium-scale nonlinear dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model is estimated (54 variables, 29 state variables, 7 observed variables). The model includes a observed variable for stock market returns. The root-mean square error (RMSE) of the in-sample and out-of-sample forecasts is...

This article compares the properties of different non-linear Kalman filters: the well-known Unscented Kalman filter (UKF), the central difference Kalman filter (CDKF) and the new Quadratic Kalman filter (QKF). A small financial DSGE model is repeatedly estimated by several quasi-likelihood...

We consider two models of economic growth with exhaustible natural resources, exogenous technical progress and agents heterogeneous in their time preferences. In the first model we assume private ownership of natural resources. We show that every competitive equilibrium in this model converges...

Environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) describes the relationship between the economic growth and the environmental degradation. Some researchers assume that this nexus may be influenced by international trade. In this paper we estimated EKC for carbon dioxide emissions using panel data for 15...

A model of economic growth with many agents and borrowing constraints is considered under the assumption that wages are paid ex ante. It is shown that, in contrast to the traditional case where wages are paid ex post, the convergence of equilibrium paths to a steady-state equilibrium occurs...

One of the most important aims of monetary policy of the Bank of Russia is to reduce CPI inflation under simultaneous stabilization of ruble exchange rate to the major world currencies. While such task setting is obviously contradictory and requires usage of additional instrument, it is unclear...