We investigate the decision heuristics used by experts to forecast that early-stage ventures are subsequently … flaws and positive factors to arrive at a forecast. A conjunctive model is used to describe their process, which sums "good …

We develop a belief-based account of decision under uncertainty. This model predicts decisions under uncertainty from … violate the partition inequality implied by the classical theory of decision under uncertainty. …

and judgment in the face of uncertainty is the main contribution of this paper to the literature. … judgment in decision-making and risk management. The concept of risk management is explained with an example of programme … management, and education, this paper presents a framework of theory, empirical evidence, and judgment to understand decision …

makers' mental representations of the alternatives, measured with both verbal and nonverbal judgment probes. We found that …, however, remained even when accounting for this judgment distortion and the effects of sampling bias. Indeed, participants …

The forecast of water demand suppose the foresight of water demand based on information processing using special … statistical procedures. The forecast of water demand for the population is made for three forecast scenarios depending on … fertility rate. To achieve the forecast of water demand for the population was applied "The forecast methodology of water demand …