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The simultaneous equation econometric model has recently come under increasing, attack as a policy analysis and forecasting tool However, traditional methods of choosing among competing models rely heavily on the use of summary Statistics It IS shown, by example, that choosing a model With...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010919885
neural network model outperformed a monthly ARIMA model with respect to the mean square error criterion and performed … similarly to the ARIMA model with respect to turning point accuracy. The more positive results of the monthly neural network …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008550396
forecasting horizon we either favour a denoising step plus an ARIMA forecast or an multiscale wavelet decomposition plus an ARIMA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300727
Decomposition and ARIMA modeling of time series to provide more accurate prediction. Extensive experiments on 5 real datasets is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012046972
explicit nature of the dynamics of the CBS we show that the introduction of herding modifies the random walk to an ARIMA($0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324793
Call centers' managers are interested in obtaining accurate forecasts of call arrivals because these are a key input in staffing and scheduling decisions. Therefore their ability to achieve an optimal balance between service quality and operating costs ultimately hinges on forecast accuracy. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662416
This paper conducts a USDTRY rate forecast by ARIMA method using 3,069 daily observations between the dates of 3 … forecast using ARIMA method generate static models, and none of them conduct multi-step prediction or out of sample fit. The …-term ARIMAs in predicting accuracy. Specifically, for the short-term ARIMAs appropriate specification is raised as ARIMA (2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011988758
Iasi County has seen, in the last twenty-three years, a decline of the general fertility rate both in the urban region and in the rural region which leads to a decrease in the number of inhabitants and the aging of the population. The purpose of this study is to compare the trend of the general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012017203
family (ARCH, GARCH, TGARCH, EGARCH and PGARCH) and ARIMA models are used to assess and forecast volatilities in prices on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961666
Distributed Lag (ARDL), Autoregressive Integrated Moving Av- erage (ARIMA) and a multivariate time series Vector Autoregressive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961668