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This paper investigates the forecasting performance of three popular variants of the non-linear GARCH models, namely VS-GARCH …, GJR-GARCH and Q-GARCH, with the symmetric GARCH(1,1) model as a benchmark. The application involves ten European stock … price indexes. Forecasts produced by each non-linear GARCH model and each index are evaluated using a common set of …
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GARCH model. The GDFM, applied to a large number of series, captures the multivariate information and disentangles the … a GARCH.We compare GDFM+GARCH and standard GARCH performance on two samples up to 171 series, providing one …-step-ahead volatility predictions of returns. The GDFM+GARCH model outperforms the standard GARCH in most cases. These results are robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328627
factor models with GARCH dynamics (GARCH(1,1)-M, IGARCH(1,1)-M, Nonlinear Asymmetrie GARCH(1,1)-M and Glosten …-Jagannathan-Runkle GARCH(1,1)-M) and three different distributions for the disturbances (Normal, Student's t and Generalized Error Distribution … compared with forecasts based on individual GARCH(1,1)-M models, static factor models, naive, random walk and exponential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010435583
, Hungary and Poland) and South Eastern Europe (Croatia, Macedonia and Serbia) using multivariate GARCH models in 2006 …
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