In the present paper author will try to point out that government debt as a percentage of GDP has a negative impact on stock prices in the long run, while entrepreneurial caliber has a positive effect on stock prices in the long run. Data are annual and cover Western European economies for the...

This paper presents a stylized model of international trade and asset price bubbles. Its central insight is that bubbles tend to appear and expand in countries where productivity is low relative to the rest of the world. These bubbles absorb local savings, eliminating inefficient investments and...

We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...

We study fluctuations in stock prices using a framework derived from the present value model augmented with a macroeconomic factor. The fundamental value is derived as the expected present discounted value of broad dividends that include, in addition to traditional cash dividends, other payouts...

Clean-surplus accounting implies that a firm's stock return can be decomposed into a function of the firm's return on equity, book-to-market equity ratio, and dividend-price ratio. Consequently, the variation in these ratios across firms should be indicative of cross-sectional variation in...

Measuring the value of labor-market hires for stock prices, be it underwriters when firms go public (IPOs) or chief executive officers (CEOs), is difficult due to selection. Opaque firms with higher costs of capital benefit more from prestigious underwriters, while productive firms benefit more...