Showing 1 - 10 of 27
The paper uses quarterly GDP data for some 30 years up to and including 2001, to examine the identity and development of the European business cycle. Cycles are identified by using a band-pass filter version of the Hodrick-Prescott filter and affiliations are examined using clustering techniques...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509523
Spain has experienced many financial crises through its history. These financial crises have varied origins. However, they do have common threads. The current recession and subsequent debt crisis follow the same pattern. The fiscal and monetary policies of the Spanish government have played a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125662
It is still insufficiently realised, even now, that the US and therefore the rest of the world may be on the brink of a severe and intractable recession. As recently as September 2000, it was commonly held that the US business cycle had been abolished for ever, while the “consensus” forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106735
Modern growth theory derives mostly from Robert Solow's “A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth” (1956). Solow's own interpretation locates the origins of his “Contribution” in his view that the growth model of Roy Harrod implied a tendency toward progressive collapse of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084232
Dopo la seconda guerra mondiale ci sono stati il regolamento degli aiuti concessi sulla base del Lend-lease, l'istituzione del sistema di Bretton Woods, il prestito alla Gran Bretagna e, infine, il piano Marshall. Riflettendo su quel periodo ho proposto una mia legge delle politiche economiche...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091034
The strategic outlook of the U.S. can be assessed by analyzing the balance sheets of its main sectors, which are mutually linked by a coherent system of accounting. The expansion of the period 1992-2000 was greeted by a wave of complacency in the United States and it was thought that it could...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066110
The U.S. today experiences an expanding financial economy. Investors benefit as common stock prices rise. Moreover, the finance industry grows relative to other industries (called “financialization”). But at the same time, the real economy lags. Workers' pay and job opportunities stagnate as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926751
Drawing on recent business cycle research on the Great Depression, we return to an argument we advanced in a 1996 article in the Journal of Monetary Economics - the argument that features of the Hawley-Smoot tariffs could have done more to decrease economic activity than is customarily believed,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012733979
This paper traces the evolution of the concept of the cyclically adjusted budget from the 1930s to the present. The idea of balancing the budget over the cycle was first conceived in Sweden in the 1930s by the economists of the Stockholm School and was soon reinterpreted and incorporated into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970752
The 1920s often called the “Golden 20s” because the equity markets were booming but there were a series of structural issues. Only a few years after the 1st World War the global economy was still suffering from the consequences of the brutal war. The market crash of 1929 came unexpected and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859878