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We demonstrate that the parameters controlling skewness and kurtosis in popular equity return models estimated at daily frequency can be obtained almost as precisely as if volatility is observable by simply incorporating the strong information content of realized volatility measures extracted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128339
We compare more than 1000 different volatility models in terms of their fit to the historical ISE-100 Index data and their forecasting performance of the conditional variance in an out-of-sample setting. Exponential GARCH model of Nelson (1991) with “constant mean, t-distribution, one lag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159436
Many of the concepts in theoretical and empirical finance developed over the past decades – including the classical portfolio theory, the Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing model or the RiskMetrics variance-covariance approach to VaR – rest upon the assumption that asset returns follow a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663369
We propose a jump robust positive semidefinite rank-based estimator for the daily covariance matrix based on high-frequency intraday returns. It disentangles covariance estimation into variance and correlation components. This allows to estimate correlations over lower sampling frequencies, to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115577
The properties of an iterative procedure for the estimation of the parameters of an ARFIMA process are investigated in a Monte Carlo study. The estimation procedure is applied to stock returns data for 15 countries
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106073
One of the consequences of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is that the expected excess return of a financial instrument is proportional to the expected excess market return. The proportionality constant, called the instrument's beta, is the coefficient in the linear least-squares fit of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109213
A daily log-return can be regarded as a test statistic - specifically the (unscaled) sample mean of a sequence of intraday random variables. We discuss sufficient conditions for a dependent bootstrap to consistently and non-parametrically estimate the entire distribution of this “test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072314
We estimate the daily integrated variance and covariance of stock returns using high-frequency data in the presence of jumps, market microstructure noise and non-synchronous trading. For this we propose jump robust two time scale (co)variance estimators and verify their reduced bias and mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976316
The realized power variations with even order of a discretely observed semi-martingale have been widely studied in literature, due to some important applications in finance, for example, estimating the integrated volatility and integrated quarticity. However, few works have paid attention to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053805
Financial experts assume that measures the risk of financial asset returns generally have a normal distribution. Reality often shows asset returns are not normally distributed, so that the constraints and make it difficult to estimate the risk of taking the measurements. For it is necessary to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056260