In this paper we highlight a data augmentation approach to inference in the Bayesian logistic regression model. We demonstrate that the resulting conditional likelihood of the regression coefficients is multivariate normal, equivalent to a standard Bayesian linear regression, which allows for...

We present two alternative approaches for estimating VaR. Both approaches are based on the observation that each trading day is very diverse and we can observe K different phases of the trading day. We can not observe from which of the K phases our observations rt are. Therefore, we apply Gibbs...

An efficient, generic and simple to use Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for partially observed temporal epidemic models is introduced. The algorithm is designed to be adaptive so that it can easily be used by non-experts. There are two key features incorporated in the algorithm to...

Time-constant assumptions in discrete-response heterogeneity models can often be violated. To address this, a time-varying heterogeneity approach to model unobserved heterogeneity in ordered response data is considered. A Markov switching random parameters structure (which accounts for...

Estimating limited dependent variable time series models through standard extremum methods can be a daunting computational task because of the need for integration of high order multiple integrals and/or numerical optimization of difficult objective functions. This paper proposes a classical...