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Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039605
We analyze the impact of US macroeconomic surprises and forecaster heterogeneity on the USD/EUR exchange rate and US and German long-term interest rates from 1999 to 2014. We show how a direct proxy of macroeconomic disagreement, given by the heterogeneity of beliefs among forecasters regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012472
This paper assesses redenomination risk in the euro area. We first estimate daily default-risk-free yield curves for … redenomination risk from the yield spreads between these two types of bonds. Redenomination risk primarily shows up at the short end … -2% for Germany. The ECB's interventions designed to reduce the risk of a breakup successfully did so for Italy, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865446
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989326
welfare because it only reduces risk sharing. In contrast, in the U.S. banking system, where there is less competition for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014064410
important banks (SIBs). Its purpose is to examine consequences that follow for risk choices of SIBs, as well as for Germany … to offset risk reductions achieved on the micro level. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009788241
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003856587
The main subject of theoretical-empirical study presented in this paper is economic efficiency of companies listed on … essence and assessment measures of companies' economic efficiency. The second part presents the results of a comparative … empirical research on economic efficiency of the companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange and included in the WIG30 index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012002139
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011782674
In their seminal paper French and Roll (1986) postulate that public information affects prices before anyone can trade on it. In contrast, several models assuming heterogeneous investors show that public news releases are directly followed by high trading volume. Empirical evidence on this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605223