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Are Microfinance Institutions in Developing Countries a Safe Harbour Against the Contagion of Global Recession?

Moro Visconti, Roberto - 2015

The global recession has strongly affected the credibility of the international banking system, damaging also the real economy.Developing countries, not fully integrated with international markets, seem less affected and local microfinance institutions might also allow for a further shelter...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017012

The Volatility of Business Cycles in Developed Market Economies, 1870-1986 : Revisions and Conjectures

Altman, Morris - 2010

Alternative estimates for the volatility of pre-depression and post-World War II Canadian business cycles are constructed using various real Canadian GNP series. These estimates all suggest that the latter period was prone to much less cyclical volatility than the pre-depression years. With few...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149016

Data, global development, and COVID-19 : lessons and consequences

Naudé, Wim; Vinuesa, Ricardo - 2020

The COVID-19 pandemic holds at least seven lessons for the relationship between data-driven decision making, the use of artificial intelligence, and development. These are that (1) in a global crisis, the shifting value of data creates policy pitfalls; (2) predictions of crises and how they play...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012268212

The Lucas Paradox and the quality of institutions : then and now

Schularick, Moritz (contributor); … - 2008

In the first era of financial globalization (1880-1914), global capital market integration led to substantial net … capital movements from rich to poor economies. The historical experience stands in contrast to the contemporary globalization … movements. -- capital market integration ; financial globalization ; economic history …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003655033

Is the Public Investment Multiplier Higher in Developing Countries? An Empirical Exploration

Izquierdo, Alejandro - 2020

Over the last decade, empirical studies analyzing macroeconomic conditions that may affect the size of government spending multipliers have flourished. Yet, in spite of their obvious public policy importance, little is known about public investment multipliers. In particular, the clear...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843305

Global Recession and Microfinance Risk Governance in Developing Countries

Moro Visconti, Roberto - 2015

Global recession, started in 2008, is still proving an unresolved perfect storm and the financial crisis has affected also the real economy, creating widespread social unrest. Microfinance institutions (MFIs) in developing countries seem however less affected by the worldwide turmoil, due to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016973

Predicting Macroeconomic and Macrofinancial Stress in Low-Income Countries

Weisfeld, Hans; de Carvalho Filho, Irineu; Comelli, Fabio; … - 2021

In recent years, Fund staff has prepared cross-country analyses of macroeconomic vulnerabilities in low-income countries, focusing on the risk of sharp declines in economic growth and of debt distress. We discuss routes to broadening this focus by adding several macroeconomic and macrofinancial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250073

New Financial Indices for the History of Developed and Emerging Markets

Taylor, Bryan - 2022

New indices for developed and emerging markets are analyzed for stocks, bonds and bills over the past 300 years. Indices for commodity markets covering 1000 years and indices for real estate covering over 100 years are also provided. Bull and bear markets for fixed income are studied going back...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236544

Growth-cycle nexus

Kodama, Masahiro - Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade … - 2013

This research sheds light on the negative correlation between economic growth and business cycle in less developed economies. Whereas many previous studies explain the negative correlation from a viewpoint in which business cycle affects economic growth, we attempt to present a hypothesis based...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010625274

Monetary Policy Effects in Developing Countries with Minimum Wages

Kodama, Masahiro - Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade … - 2008

Using a Dynamic General Equilibrium (DGE) model, this study examines the effects of monetary policy in economies where minimum wages are bound. The findings show that the monetary-policy effect on a binding-minimum-wage economy is relatively small and quite persistent. This result suggests that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005227603

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